Hi ZS, assuming that whether or one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that maybe what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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